TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Inter Miami CF and D.C. United SC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, you might see a different probability distribution in this market if traders believe the game will be closer than implied by the sportsbook. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Inter Miami or D.C. United will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Inter Miami vs. D.C. United match, as recorded by official match statistics. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. The outcome will be determined by the official game record and is independent of any subjective interpretations or opinions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Inter Miami or D.C. United would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, and tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts, could lead to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in this market. Unexpected lineup announcements could also be a significant catalyst.