TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Unión
Volume:
$107,739
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera División soccer match between Instituto AC Córdoba and CA Unión scheduled for March 1, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation resolution pathway. This creates a settlement mismatch for the edge case of a canceled match.Hero Tip:
Monitor official AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw traders will receive YES resolution, but Kalshi traders face uncertainty. Consider hedging or clarifying Kalshi's cancellation policy before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Instituto AC Córdoba win (YES if win, NO otherwise), CA Unión win (YES if win, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Cancellation with no make-up resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw market).
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes: Tie (YES if draw), Instituto Cordoba win (YES if win), Union Santa Fe win (YES if win). No explicit cancellation clause; resolution only occurs if the specified outcome materializes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins/ties the...game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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