TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
The same two Dota 2 teams, Inner Circle and PuckChamp, compete again in this match. The result hinges on which team claims the first map in their scheduled bout.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of real-world information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely move as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the Inner Circle vs. PuckChamp match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event winner. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either the Inner Circle or PuckChamp could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this one, or even early performance within Map 1 itself, could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in related competitions or shifts in overall public perception of the teams’ strengths are other potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 17, 2026.