TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Oct 16, 2025, 11:33 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$753,414
Volume 24h:
$3,081
74%
Liquidity:
$440,843
3%
Open interest:
$114,937
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Ink's token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds on the first day of public trading. Markets are structured as a tiered ladder across five FDV levels ($250M, $500M, $1B, $2B, $3B), with resolution occurring at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following token launch.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, timing, launch qualification standards, and fallback rules across all five FDV threshold markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Ink token launchCore resolution logic:
- Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to qualify as a launch
- Resolution measurement occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
- Market resolves YES if Ink FDV exceeds the specified threshold ($250M, $500M, $1B, $2B, or $3B) at measurement time
- Market resolves NO if Ink FDV is equal to or below the specified threshold at measurement time
- If Ink does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve NO
- Resolution source is the most liquid price source available at the measurement time
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- No Launch by Deadline: If Ink token does not launch by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO regardless of any other factors
- Launch Qualification: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; private or restricted launches do not trigger resolution measurement
- Exact Threshold Match: If FDV equals the threshold exactly, market resolves NO (threshold must be exceeded, not met)
- Liquidity Source Selection: Most liquid price source available is used; if multiple sources exist with equal liquidity, the platform's oracle or official data provider determines the selection
- Timing Precision: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; if launch occurs after 4:00 PM ET, measurement occurs at 4:00 PM ET the next calendar day
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Ink token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve NO on that date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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