TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$99,401,033

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

Markets across

33,267

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Crypto
polymarket
predict

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Oct 16, 2025, 11:23 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,833,706
Volume 24h:
$3,451
37%
Liquidity:
$433,936
19%
Open interest:
$146,169N/A

$100M

 - Polymarket

$100M - Polymarket

61%

+26%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 27

Vol.

$10.2k

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 61¢ buys you 164 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $164 | Net Profit: $64 Multiplier: 1.64x | ROI: 64% | APY: 314% 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Ink's Fully Diluted Valuation will exceed specific thresholds one day after its public launch. The aggregated consensus probability shows 48.5% for Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch, and 47.6% for Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch, drawing data from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution based on the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Ink token launch. Watch the launch date on January 1, 2027, as it marks the start of the evaluation period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, timing, launch qualification standards, and fallback rules across all five FDV threshold markets.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Ink token launch

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to qualify as a launch
  • Resolution measurement occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Market resolves YES if Ink FDV exceeds the specified threshold ($250M, $500M, $1B, $2B, or $3B) at measurement time
  • Market resolves NO if Ink FDV is equal to or below the specified threshold at measurement time
  • If Ink does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve NO
  • Resolution source is the most liquid price source available at the measurement time

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Launch by Deadline: If Ink token does not launch by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO regardless of any other factors
  • Launch Qualification: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; private or restricted launches do not trigger resolution measurement
  • Exact Threshold Match: If FDV equals the threshold exactly, market resolves NO (threshold must be exceeded, not met)
  • Liquidity Source Selection: Most liquid price source available is used; if multiple sources exist with equal liquidity, the platform's oracle or official data provider determines the selection
  • Timing Precision: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; if launch occurs after 4:00 PM ET, measurement occurs at 4:00 PM ET the next calendar day
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Ink token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve NO on that date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

The Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch? dashboard aggregates real-time odds across Polymarket and Predict, tracking whether Ink's fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold within one day of its token launch. The dashboard displays consensus probability across both platforms, current volume of $1,798,976, and 24-hour activity of $2,208. This cross-platform view reveals how different market participants price Ink's post-launch valuation, helping traders identify consensus and divergence between venues.

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations of Ink's FDV one day post-launch, independent of current spot prices. Markets price in launch momentum, token supply, initial demand, and broader crypto sentiment. While spot prices fluctuate minute-to-minute, prediction odds stabilize around consensus valuations. The gap between market odds and your own valuation estimate represents potential edge. High odds suggest strong bullish sentiment on Ink's launch performance, whereas lower odds indicate skepticism about rapid FDV growth in that narrow timeframe.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict attract different trader bases, liquidity depths, and fee structures, creating natural price variation. Polymarket shows 59.0% odds while Predict reflects 51.7%, a spread of 7.3 percentage points. Differences stem from user demographics, available trading pairs, withdrawal friction, and regional access. Lower liquidity on one platform can amplify volatility and widen spreads. Arbitrage opportunities may exist between venues, though execution costs and platform friction often prevent full convergence.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Outcome determination hinges on Ink's fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its official token launch. Resolution relies on verified FDV data from credible sources at the specified timestamp. The binary outcome depends solely on whether Ink's FDV crosses the threshold or remains below it at that moment. Traders should monitor launch announcements and FDV tracking closely as the resolution date approaches to understand final conditions.

Key catalysts include official Ink launch date confirmation, token supply and unlock schedules, exchange listing announcements, and broader crypto market sentiment. Major partnerships or product updates pre-launch could boost perceived value. Regulatory news affecting Ink or the crypto sector may shift expectations. Competitor launches or market-wide volatility influence relative valuations. Early trading volume and initial exchange prices post-launch directly impact FDV. Community sentiment, developer activity, and macroeconomic factors also shape trader positioning ahead of the one-day resolution window.