TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third-tier league. The contest involves two teams competing to determine a winner within the standard match duration, with a specific resolution method for tied results. The structure ensures clarity for participants regarding potential match disruptions or rescheduling.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Ingolstadt versus Rot-Weiss Essen match in the German 3. Liga, played on October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Ingolstadt secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Ingolstadt' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, a Rot-Weiss Essen win results in the 'Rot-Weiss Essen' market resolving to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time—including stoppage minutes—the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for participants under unforeseen circumstances. The rules explicitly exclude resolution based on extended play formats such as extra time or penalties, focusing solely on the outcome determined within the standard match timeframe.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or a differing assessment of the probabilities involved in the Ingolstadt vs Essen match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Ingolstadt or Rot-Weiss Essen could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, or even public sentiment reflected in pre-game analysis and commentary, can impact trading activity. A surprising result in a related match, or even a shift in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could also lead to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in this market.