TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay USL Championship match on October 10, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All resolutions are determined solely by the number of goals scored within the 90 minutes of regulation time plus any added stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. The market does not consider any external factors, only the actual game result as it unfolds during the officially timed portions of play.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process for the total goals scored in the Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the official match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indy Eleven or Tampa Bay could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Even pre-game analysis from sports commentators or updated team lineups could trigger trading activity and cause the market to react. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ offensive capabilities or the overall game dynamics has the potential to move this market.