TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay Rowdies, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Indy Eleven vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Indy Eleven and Tampa Bay Rowdies, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Indy Eleven vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or that they simply have a different assessment of the probabilities involved in the Indy Eleven vs. Tampa Bay match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the collective actions of all traders on the platform, making it a unique indicator of expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Indy Eleven vs. Tampa Bay match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine which shares payout. It’s important to note that the resolution relies on publicly available and verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and objective process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indy Eleven or Tampa Bay Rowdies would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in weather conditions could also shift expectations, especially if they favor one team's playing style. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or tactical adjustments could influence traders' assessments of the likely outcome of the match, leading to fluctuations in share prices.