TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jonathan Taylor will score 3 or more touchdowns in the Indianapolis versus Washington professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Jonathan Taylor a 46.0% probability of achieving this, while Daniel Jones has a 19.0% probability of scoring 1 or more touchdowns. The market will resolve based on whether Ben Sinnott scores at least 2 touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the Indianapolis versus Washington game scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by player performance during that match.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players score the required number of touchdowns in the game between Indianapolis and Washington scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdowns scored during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria for each participant's performance metrics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular event. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbook lines in response to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics for the Indianapolis versus Washington matchup, specifically the number of touchdowns scored by each team. Any disputes regarding the official statistics will be addressed using widely accepted sports data sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final, verified outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Washington teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing or running, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in other betting markets or social media, could also contribute to price fluctuations.