TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of either team exceeding various yardage milestones during the match.
The event evaluates whether Washington or Indianapolis achieves specified total offensive yardage thresholds (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game delays or cancellations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced a particular outcome. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of expected results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether teams will exceed specific yardage totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, game day developments, and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market efficiently incorporates diverse perspectives, offering a real-time assessment of team performance expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total yards for each team in the Indianapolis versus Washington game will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will determine which side—Indianapolis or Washington—exceeds their respective yardage total as defined within the market contracts. Resolution will occur promptly after the completion of the game and official statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team—especially quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers—would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running offenses, could also shift prices. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or game plans could lead to substantial movement in this market before it resolves.