TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of specific Indianapolis Colts players in an upcoming football game against Washington. Participants bet on how many rushing yards individual players will gain during the match, with payouts scaling based on the actual yardage achieved.
Contracts in this market resolve based on the total rushing yards accumulated by designated Indianapolis players in the specified game. Yes contracts pay a fixed rate per yard—$0.0025 for each yard recorded—capped at $1.00, which corresponds to a maximum of 400 yards. No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to yardage, meaning partial yard thresholds result in correspondingly scaled payments. For instance, 80 yards yield $0.20 for Yes and $0.80 for No, while zero yards result in $0.00 for Yes and $1.00 for No. The structure ensures balanced risk and reward aligned with performance metrics, with all calculations constrained within the defined financial limits.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. You may find that this market moves closer to sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but often, discrepancies exist due to differing perspectives on player performance and game strategy. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics for the Indianapolis versus Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market and any potential payouts associated with their positions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are a major catalyst, as are any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about player availability, even minor ailments, can cause fluctuations in the prices of contracts within this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.