TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates player performance in a specific football game by tying financial returns to the number of rushing yards achieved by individual players. The payout structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a direct link between on-field performance and contract value.
Contracts in this market pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by specified players during the designated football game. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase incrementally for every 10-yard block of rushing yards achieved, following a cubic scaling formula that accelerates returns for higher yardage totals. The maximum payout caps at $1.00 per contract, with 'No' contracts receiving the difference between $1.00 and the 'Yes' payout. Negative rushing yard totals result in zero payout for 'Yes' contracts. The payout calculation uses a formula that scales the official rushing yard total, truncated to multiples of 10 and capped at 200 yards, applying a cubic function to determine the final payout value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes related to the total rushing yards. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means prices are determined solely by the interactions of traders on Kalshi, and do not directly reflect odds from any other source. The market’s price reflects the probability that traders assign to a particular outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total rushing yards achieved by both teams in the Indianapolis versus Washington game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL and verified by reliable sports data sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and contract payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Indianapolis or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yardage. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks may also influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or late-breaking news related to team strategies could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.