TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Indianapolis vs Washington: Rushing Yards
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Washington?

Volume:
$707,965

Jonathan Taylor: 90+

 - Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 90+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:47 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 90+

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,459
N/A
N/A
$54,031
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 70+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,136
N/A
N/A
$40,397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 80+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,614
N/A
N/A
$43,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 60+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,870
N/A
N/A
$15,423
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 50+

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,161
N/A
N/A
$18,378
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 25+

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,792
N/A
N/A
$13,636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seth McGowan: 30+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,525
N/A
N/A
$12,850
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seth McGowan: 25+

100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,949
N/A
N/A
$10,372
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 30+

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,999
N/A
N/A
$7,734
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seth McGowan: 10+

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,298
N/A
N/A
$6,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seth McGowan: 15+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,343
N/A
N/A
$3,558
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 20+

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,250
N/A
N/A
$4,175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 10+

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,920
N/A
N/A
$3,889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seth McGowan: 5+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,209
N/A
N/A
$3,104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seth McGowan: 20+

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,960
N/A
N/A
$2,587
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 15+

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,936
N/A
N/A
$2,782
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 15+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,251
N/A
N/A
$1,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 45+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 100+

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,613
N/A
N/A
$49,511
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 5+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,738
N/A
N/A
$46,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 110+

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,115
N/A
N/A
$20,501
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 10+

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,058
N/A
N/A
$20,199
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: 120+

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,938
N/A
N/A
$16,686
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 30+

0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,195
N/A
N/A
$12,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 60+

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,649
N/A
N/A
$12,671
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 62

Description

This event tracks individual player performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players achieve predetermined rushing yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the players' on-field statistics during the match.

Kalshi

All markets refer to specific players in the Indianapolis vs Washington professional football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified rushing yard threshold or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the rushing yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with each market defining a different rushing yard threshold for the same players.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information and opinions that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to predict the outcome accurately. You may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event draws closer and more traders participate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price reflects the combined judgment of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Indianapolis and Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted rushing yardage range aligns with the actual outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final statistics as they become available following the game’s completion.

Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-heavy or pass-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding player suspensions or coaching decisions could also shift the market. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed traders reacting to new information, causing price fluctuations.