TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players achieve predetermined rushing yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the players' on-field statistics during the match.
All markets refer to specific players in the Indianapolis vs Washington professional football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified rushing yard threshold or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the rushing yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with each market defining a different rushing yard threshold for the same players.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price reflects the combined judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Indianapolis and Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted rushing yardage range aligns with the actual outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final statistics as they become available following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-heavy or pass-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding player suspensions or coaching decisions could also shift the market. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed traders reacting to new information, causing price fluctuations.