TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Jonathan Taylor, playing for Indianapolis, achieves specific yardage milestones in a football game against Washington. The focus is on his combined rushing and receiving yards, with different thresholds defining separate outcomes.
All markets resolve based on whether Jonathan Taylor records a specified combined total of rushing and receiving yards in the designated game. If Taylor is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Taylor takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the yardage target.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Ultimately, the comparison depends on the specific event and prevailing sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Indianapolis versus Washington rushing and receiving yards total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official statistics for the Indianapolis versus Washington rushing and receiving yards total are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the combined total yards gained by players from both teams through both rushing and receiving, as officially recorded by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 if the total yards fall within the range defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi, and to 0 otherwise.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Indianapolis or Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any significant shifts in public sentiment, could also drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities before Oct 4, 2026.