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Indianapolis vs Washington: Receptions Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Washington?

Volume:
$15,288

Stefon Diggs

 - Kalshi

Stefon Diggs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stefon Diggs

View
25%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
—
N/A
$4,005
N/A
N/A
$3,585
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
25%
2%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
—
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
$464
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Terry McLaurin

View
18%
Yes 18¢No 82¢
—
N/A
$891
N/A
N/A
$830
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
15%
Yes 15¢No 85¢
—
N/A
$9,603
N/A
N/A
$8,864
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

View
10%
3%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
$192
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Indianapolis and Washington. Participants can bet on whether each player will reach certain reception thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual performance.

Kalshi

Each market operates as a scalar betting mechanism where Yes contracts pay $0.05 for every reception a designated player records during the specified game, up to a maximum payout of $1.00. No contracts pay the remainder of the $1.00 stake not allocated to Yes payouts. The payout structure is capped at 20 receptions, ensuring Yes payouts do not exceed $1.00. For example, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60. If a player records zero receptions, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays the full $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the size of each holder's position in the market. The markets resolve to Yes if the player records any receptions, with the exact payout determined by the number of receptions recorded, subject to the cap.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many traders. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome than traditional odds, as they continuously adjust based on new information and collective insight. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, specific reception totals for players. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. The market doesn’t rely on a central authority setting prices; instead, it’s driven by the collective actions of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the game between Indianapolis and Washington are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will reflect the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the settlement of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies would be major catalysts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing games and therefore reception totals. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or shifts in coaching philosophies could also drive trading activity. Finally, general sentiment shifts based on expert analysis or public perception can move prices as traders adjust their forecasts.