TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Washington. Payouts are determined by how many receiving yards each player accumulates during the match, with higher yardage leading to greater returns for 'Yes' contracts.
Each market evaluates player receiving yards in the specified football game, with payouts structured to reward higher performance. For every participant, 'Yes' contracts pay according to a tiered schedule based on yards achieved in increments of ten, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling of yardage relative to the maximum, ensuring non-linear growth in returns. 'No' contracts receive the remainder of $1.00 after subtracting the 'Yes' payout, and negative yardage results in zero payout for 'Yes' contracts. All markets resolve to 'Yes' following the game, regardless of individual performance outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, leading to dynamic price movements. The most actively traded contracts generally have the tightest spreads, indicating greater consensus and liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Indianapolis versus Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded receiving yards for all eligible players during the game. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. The final outcome will determine which contracts pay out and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either team will likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and, therefore, receiving yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in player usage patterns could also drive price fluctuations. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sources could sway trader sentiment and affect the market.