TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance beyond a set threshold during an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Washington. Each player has a different required yardage to meet or exceed for the event to be considered successful. The outcome depends on game performance and player participation.
The event determines if any of the specified players records a longest rush exceeding their individual threshold yards in the Indianapolis vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different player and their respective yardage requirement. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest rush distance they record during the game. The markets operate independently, meaning the resolution for each player is assessed separately according to their specific criteria.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a player is more likely to have a long rush than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest official rush during the Indianapolis versus Washington game, as recorded by official NFL statistics, will determine the result. The market will settle to 100 for the player with the longest rush and 0 for all other players. The official NFL game statistics will be the final authority on the longest rush.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact traders' perceptions of which player is most likely to have a long rush. Unexpected announcements about player roles or playing time could also cause significant shifts in the odds. Additionally, any updates on the opposing team's defensive capabilities or running game tendencies could influence trading activity on Kalshi.