TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in a football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether the players will meet various yardage benchmarks during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified quarterback achieves the designated passing yard threshold in the game. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a snap is taken, even if the play is nullified by penalty, the outcome is determined by the actual passing yards recorded. All markets pertain exclusively to the game scheduled for October 4, 2026, and are independent assessments of varying yardage milestones for each quarterback.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders participate, the more efficient the pricing becomes, and the closer the contract prices reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for the Indianapolis and Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for each quarterback will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which outcome, if any, meets the specified threshold. The market will settle to 100 if the actual passing yards fall within the range of a purchased contract.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either Indianapolis or Washington would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could impact passing yardage totals. Pre-game reports on defensive strategies and key matchups could also shift expectations. Finally, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could also cause the odds to move substantially before Oct 4, 2026.