TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of starting quarterbacks in a specific NFL game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they throw. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by the named quarterback in the specified game. If the quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is later nullified by a penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each possibility. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and the current volume indicates active participation from those forecasting the game’s passing touchdown totals.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team during the Indianapolis versus Washington game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of passing touchdowns. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and cause the market to react. Analyst predictions and public discussion about the game could also contribute to price fluctuations.