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Indianapolis vs Washington: Passing Attempts
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Washington?

Volume:
$5,298

Daniel Jones: 32+

 - Kalshi

Daniel Jones: 32+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 32+

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,628
N/A
N/A
$1,446
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 27+

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 37+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,680
N/A
N/A
$1,658
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 31+

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$868
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 36+

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$722
N/A
N/A
$718
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Mariota: 26+

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It focuses on whether predetermined thresholds of pass attempts are met by the designated players, providing insight into anticipated offensive strategies and game dynamics.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets centered on passing attempts for Marcus Mariota and Daniel Jones in the Indianapolis vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold of passing attempts that, if achieved by the respective quarterback, results in a 'Yes' resolution. For Marcus Mariota, thresholds are set at 26+, 31+, and 36+ passing attempts, while for Daniel Jones, the thresholds are 27+, 32+, and 37+. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if either quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution is determined solely by the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes based on real-time game performance, while also accounting for potential pre-game uncertainties regarding player participation.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources, but sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by factors like news reports, injury updates, and expert analysis. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to rapidly adjust to new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals for the quarterbacks in the Indianapolis versus Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by the NFL. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the actual passing attempts exceeded or fell short of the thresholds defined in the market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions once the resolution is finalized.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would be a major catalyst, as it directly affects their ability to attempt passes. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing game strategies. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about key receivers being unavailable could impact the expected passing volume and therefore shift the odds in this market.