TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:43 AM EST
Kalshi
The second quarter of the Indianapolis versus Washington matchup will be scrutinized to see if both teams can find the scoreboard. Regardless of the scoring method—touchdowns, field goals, or safeties—any points tallied in this period will determine whether the condition is met.
If Indianapolis and Washington both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Indianapolis vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. It’s common to see prediction market prices move differently than sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public opinion shifts, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome of whether both teams will score in the second quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of the event occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of 'Yes'. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is a direct reflection of the collective predictions of all participants trading on the platform, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Indianapolis Colts and the Washington Commanders score at least one point during the second quarter of their game. Official scoring records from the game will be used to determine the result. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to offensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also move the market. In-game performance during the first quarter, such as strong offensive drives or defensive stops, might also cause traders to adjust their predictions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also play a role.