TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players score a certain number of touchdowns in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Pittsburgh. The markets cover various players and different touchdown thresholds, providing insights into potential scoring performances.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players score the specified number of touchdowns (1+, 2+, or 3+) during the full game, including overtime. Each contract is protected: if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the required touchdowns are scored. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. Passing touchdowns do not count toward player totals, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, offering potential value for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics for the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh matchup, specifically the total number of touchdowns scored by both teams. The final result will be determined by reviewing official sources and ensuring accuracy, providing a clear and transparent resolution for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations.