TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Travis Homer or Ben Skowronek will each score at least one touchdown in the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Travis Homer: 1+ touchdowns a 100.0% probability, and Ben Skowronek: 1+ touchdowns also has a 100.0% probability. The market will resolve based on whether either player scores at least one touchdown, as determined by the outcome of the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Keep an eye on the official game results following the conclusion of the game on 2026-10-11 to see which outcome resolves.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown in the specified game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at its fair price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the outcome is determined by whether they score a touchdown during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's scoring contribution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the event’s result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game’s scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of touchdowns scored in the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual total touchdowns scored during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the passing or running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also shift market sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations and cause the price to move accordingly.