TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market allows participants to speculate on the rushing performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Pittsburgh. Payouts increase progressively with higher rushing yard totals, creating a tiered reward structure based on actual game results.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the specified football game, using a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment corresponds to a specific payout value. The payout formula calculates a scaled return using the cubic function of the player's rushing yards, capped at $1.00 for Yes contracts. No contracts receive the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, with both types resolving to Yes upon completion. Negative rushing totals result in zero payout for Yes contracts. The structure ensures increasing financial rewards for higher yardage performance while maintaining a maximum payout ceiling.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions, aiming to reflect the true probability of different outcomes. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and traders react to news and events. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more informed trading occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage statistics, as reported by the NFL's official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle based on the total combined rushing yards achieved by both teams during the game, and the contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies or weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that might affect the running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player health or team dynamics leading up to the game could cause shifts in the market price as traders adjust their expectations.