TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a star running back for Indianapolis exceeds specific yardage thresholds in a football game against Pittsburgh. The outcome depends on the player's combined rushing and receiving yards during the match. Thresholds represent progressively higher performance benchmarks for the player to achieve.
All markets resolve based on Jonathan Taylor's combined rushing and receiving yards in the specified game. If Taylor is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Taylor takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual yards recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct numerical threshold (110+, 135+, or 160+) that determines a 'Yes' outcome. The rules consistently apply across all markets, ensuring uniform treatment of snap participation and yardage calculation regardless of the specific threshold being evaluated.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader expectations, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public sentiment. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final outcome of the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh rushing and receiving yards total. Prices move based on supply and demand – if more people believe the total will be high, the price of contracts predicting a higher total will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, offering a unique insight into the likely result. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing and receiving yardage totals for both the Indianapolis and Pittsburgh teams will be sourced from official NFL statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total yards achieved by players from both teams during the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either the Indianapolis or Pittsburgh teams would be a major catalyst. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the passing game and, consequently, the total yardage. Significant news regarding coaching strategies or play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts within this market.