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Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh?

Volume:
$892

Tyler Warren

 - Kalshi

Tyler Warren - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jaylen Warren

View
8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

DK Metcalf

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 5

Description

This market evaluates player performance in an upcoming football game by tracking how many times specific players catch passes. Contracts tied to each player will pay out based on the number of receptions they achieve during the match, with higher payouts awarded for more successful performances.

Kalshi

Contracts in this market resolve based on the number of official receptions achieved by designated players in the Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a predetermined scalar amount that escalates with the number of receptions, following a cubic formula designed to reward higher performance levels. The payout schedule ranges from $0.0000 for zero receptions up to $1.0000 for fourteen or more receptions. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. All payouts are capped at $1.00 for Yes contracts. The resolution hinges solely on official reception statistics recorded during the game, with identical calculation methods applied across all player-specific markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes in the NFL.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of various reception totals.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved in the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final results and any payouts associated with their positions following the completion of the game and official data verification.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact the expected reception totals. Significant shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, can also move the market. Unexpected performance from a player in previous games, or a change in the opposing team's defensive approach, are other potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.