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Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh?

Volume:
$29,224

Jaylen Warren

 - Kalshi

Jaylen Warren - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jaylen Warren

View
6%
Yes 6.4¢No 93.6¢
—
N/A
$14,477
N/A
N/A
$13,525
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
6%
Yes 6.4¢No 93.6¢
—
N/A
$10,775
N/A
N/A
$10,775
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$2,378
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

DK Metcalf

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,044
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Pittsburgh. Contracts pay out based on the number of receiving yards each player accumulates during the match, with higher yardage leading to increased payouts. The structure allows participants to speculate on individual player productivity in a precise, quantifiable way.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on the official receiving yards accumulated by the specified player in the Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment within defined ranges corresponds to a specific dollar amount, calculated using the formula: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents the official receiving yards. The maximum Yes payout is $1.00. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and if a player records negative receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00. All markets are scalar, meaning payouts are determined solely by the numerical yardage achieved, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on evolving expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the officially recorded statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Indianapolis or Pittsburgh teams, particularly wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and affect predicted receiving yardage. Additionally, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could shift expectations and drive trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.