TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The contest evaluates cumulative yardage attained by named participants throughout the match.
All markets refer to designated players in the Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For each market, if the specified player records the stated receiving yard threshold or more during the game, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based strictly on the total receiving yards they actually record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each named player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against yardage targets regardless of game events affecting play count or validity.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for the players in the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to the total combined receiving yards achieved by all eligible receivers in the specified game, as reported by official league statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or adjustments to offensive game plans could also lead to price movements. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or defensive strategies could sway trader sentiment and affect the prices in this market.