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Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh?

Volume:
$7,456

Tyler Warren: over 17.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Tyler Warren: over 17.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyler Warren: over 17.5 yards

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,893
N/A
N/A
$3,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Downs: over 21.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$839
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Laquon Treadwell: over 11.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$521
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pat Freiermuth: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
$276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor: over 9.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Germie Bernard: over 12.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaylen Warren: over 10.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Roman Wilson: over 19.5 yards

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$793
N/A
N/A
$793
Settled
No
kalshi

DK Metcalf: over 21.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

Darnell Washington: over 14.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

Keenan Allen: over 15.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a longest reception beyond a set yardage threshold in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the distance of their farthest catch during the match.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether designated players record a longest reception exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if a player is active for the game but never takes a snap—meaning they are on the roster but do not participate in any offensive plays—the market will settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap, even if that play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome is determined solely by whether their longest reception met or exceeded the threshold. This structure ensures that markets reflect actual in-game performance once players begin participating, while accounting for pre-game uncertainty when players may be listed as active but see no action.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of each player achieving the longest reception. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception clashes with expert analysis. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player, and the price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that player’s probability of having the longest reception. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system to ensure solvency, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses, which influences price movements.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning outcome. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the result, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or address any losing positions based on the final, verified outcome of the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key wide receivers on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds, could also influence the likelihood of long pass attempts. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or player matchups could affect traders’ assessments. Unexpected player performance during the game itself, even in early plays, could also trigger substantial movements in this market as traders react to real-time developments.