TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
In the same Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game, attention turns to the offensive scoring ability of Rodgers and Jones through passing touchdowns. Observers will track how many touchdowns each quarterback throws, with markets set at different touchdown counts for potential resolution.
Markets resolve to Yes if the named quarterback achieves the specified number of passing touchdowns or more during the game. As with yardage markets, if a quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap occurs, even if nullified by penalty, the market outcome depends solely on the number of passing touchdowns recorded.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for the likelihood of a specific number of passing touchdowns being scored in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final statistics from the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of passing touchdowns officially recorded by the NFL will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any late-breaking news or information regarding the game and the expected performance of the quarterbacks involved. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi following verification.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or adjustments to defensive schemes could influence traders' assessments of the potential for passing touchdowns. Unexpected news about player availability or performance could also cause notable fluctuations in this market.