TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Aaron Rodgers in a specific football game, focusing on how many times his passes are intercepted by the opposing team. The outcome depends on whether Rodgers throws a certain number of interceptions during the match. The rules account for scenarios where Rodgers might not play or take any snaps.
The markets evaluate whether Aaron Rodgers records a specified minimum number of passing interceptions in the Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+). If Rodgers is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Rodgers takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing interceptions he records during the game. These rules ensure clarity in settling outcomes even when player participation is uncertain prior to or during the game.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the game’s potential for interceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be rainy or windy, could also affect passing frequency and interception rates. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about defensive strategies or key player matchups could shift expectations and move the market. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching decisions could also be catalysts for price movement.