TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Pittsburgh player or defensive unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Indianapolis. Each market is tied to a specific player or the possibility of no touchdown being scored, allowing participants to bet on their prediction of who will find the end zone first.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified Pittsburgh player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes a snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Pittsburgh touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player and defensive unit markets for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the first Pittsburgh touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with traders aiming to profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The current volume traded is $11,138, indicating the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed against publicly available and authoritative sources to ensure an accurate and fair resolution. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi after verification.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for Pittsburgh, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as they affect the passing and running game. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the odds. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market.