TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market requires a precise alignment between the first half leader and the final game result to settle as a success.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Indianapolis vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and team news, this market can incorporate a broader range of factors and real-time adjustments based on trader activity. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each possible result. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Indianapolis versus Pittsburgh game, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It's important to monitor the official game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other NFL games could also influence perceptions of team strength and affect the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trader decisions. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 11, 2026.