TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether the MIN Vikings D/ST or Aaron Jones Sr. will each score at least one touchdown in the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game. Currently, the probability of the MIN Vikings D/ST scoring 1+ touchdowns is 48.0%, while Aaron Jones Sr. is at 10.0%. The market will resolve based on whether either player or unit scores a touchdown in the game, as determined by official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as the outcome will depend on performance during that fixture.
All markets resolve based on whether designated participants score at least one touchdown in the specified NFL game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at its fair price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether plays are nullified by penalties—the market resolves according to actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive team field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of participant performance in relation to scoring touchdowns.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total number of touchdowns scored. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations about the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count from the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by recognized sports data providers. Any potential scoring adjustments or official rulings will be taken into account to ensure an accurate and fair resolution of this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions matched the actual outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact expectations about scoring. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in team dynamics could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public analysis or expert predictions about the game's likely scoring outcome could also move this market.