TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or teams score at least one touchdown in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Minnesota. The outcome depends on individual player performances or defensive scores from either team during the full match, including any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score one or more touchdowns during the entire game, including overtime. Each contract features a protection rule: if a player participates in the first half but not after, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the required touchdowns are scored. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer's total, and the protection clause applies only to full-game contracts with at-least criteria. Team defense/special-teams selections settle based on actual statistics without the player participation exception. All contracts are independent of official league affiliations.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of events, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently based on new information, potentially offering insights beyond traditional sportsbook lines for this particular game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various touchdown totals in the Indianapolis versus Minnesota matchup. The current market price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of touchdowns scored in the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or rushing attacks, could also shift the market. Finally, late-breaking analysis from respected NFL analysts or unexpected shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to changes in the price of contracts in this market.