TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Rushing Yards Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$2,968

Jonathan Taylor

 - Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
24%
Yes 23.8¢No 76.3¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Kyler Murray

View
10%
Yes 9.8¢No 90.3¢
—
N/A
$2,085
N/A
N/A
$2,069
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

View
7%
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 3

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Minnesota. Each market focuses on how many rushing yards a particular player accumulates during the game. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase linearly with the number of yards rushed, up to a maximum, while 'No' contracts pay the remainder of the total stake.

Kalshi

All three markets operate under identical event-level rules for determining payouts. Each is a scalar market where 'Yes' contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the specified player during the game, capped at $1.00, which corresponds to a maximum of 400 yards. The 'No' contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the 'Yes' payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning that if a player records 80 yards, a 'Yes' contract pays $0.20 and a 'No' contract pays $0.80. If the player records zero yards, 'Yes' pays $0.00 and 'No' pays $1.00. The markets resolve to 'Yes' if the specified player records any rushing yards, with the payout reflecting the exact yardage accumulated, subject to the cap. The structure ensures that total payouts for both 'Yes' and 'No' contracts always sum to $1.00 per contract, regardless of the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, as prediction markets can incorporate information that sportsbooks may overlook or undervalue. However, both aim to predict the same outcome, and both will adjust as new information becomes available. The degree of difference can vary significantly depending on the event and the information available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard outcomes for the players involved. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of potential player performance. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, where prices quickly reflect changes in sentiment and available data.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics from the game between Indianapolis and Minnesota are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which rushing yard ladder outcomes were achieved. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available and widely accepted data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both teams are crucial; any news regarding their health could cause substantial price movements. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if there’s rain or snow, could favor a more run-heavy offensive strategy, influencing expectations for rushing yard totals. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or changes in offensive play-calling could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding team strengths and weaknesses could also move the market.