TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Minnesota. Participants can bet on how many rushing yards a chosen player will accumulate, with payouts increasing progressively as yardage milestones are met or exceeded. The structure incentivizes accurate predictions of player performance in a key matchup.
Contracts pay based on the exact rushing yards achieved by each named player in the specified Pro Football game. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts escalate non-linearly with every 10-yard increment, calculated using a cubic function scaled to a maximum of $1.00 for 200+ yards. 'No' contracts receive the remainder of $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative yardage results assign zero payout to 'Yes' contracts. All markets resolve to 'Yes' following payout determination, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming official league affiliation.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, but this market allows participants to continuously update their predictions based on new information and analysis. While sportsbooks set odds based on probabilities they assign, this market's price is determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome, potentially leading to different valuations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the actual total rushing yards falling at or below that level. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving collective prediction. The market's depth and volume provide insights into the level of conviction behind different potential outcomes for the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard total from the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome of this market. All contracts will be settled based on whether the actual total rushing yards fall above or below the contract's specified level. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning contracts.