TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on evaluating whether a key player, Jonathan Taylor, will achieve specific cumulative yardage milestones through both rushing and receiving in a designated football game. The thresholds represent increasing levels of performance, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of the player's effectiveness. Outcomes are determined solely by the player's combined yardage statistics from the game.
All three markets evaluate Jonathan Taylor’s combined rushing and receiving yards in the Indianapolis vs. Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, with escalating thresholds of 90+, 115+, and 140+ yards required for a 'Yes' resolution. A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if Taylor is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Taylor takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based strictly on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. These rules ensure that market outcomes reflect actual in-game performance once Taylor participates, while protecting against uncertainty when a player is present but does not see any action.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a given event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—provides insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Indianapolis Colts versus Minnesota Vikings game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the combined rushing and receiving yardage totals achieved by all players during the game. The final yardage totals will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the actual result. This market’s outcome will be determined by verifiable data, not subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries to key running backs or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for running or passing, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in team personnel could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player availability or performance expectations could trigger adjustments in the prices within this market.