TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether Jonathan Taylor will achieve specific receiving yard thresholds during an upcoming NFL game between Indianapolis and Minnesota. The outcomes depend entirely on Taylor's performance in terms of receiving yards accumulated during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if Jonathan Taylor participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game's kickoff, unless he meets or exceeds the specified receiving yard threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If Taylor participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of his first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers the full game receiving yards, including overtime.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge with or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The current market price represents the aggregated expectation of all traders on Kalshi regarding the total receiving yards in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the official results reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Indianapolis or Minnesota teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or player matchups could also influence trader sentiment and shift the odds on Kalshi. Keep an eye on these developments as the game approaches.