TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Indianapolis vs Minnesota: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$58,126

Kyler Murray: 1+

 - Kalshi

Kyler Murray: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 3:12 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 1+

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,443
N/A
N/A
$8,422
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 2+

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,944
N/A
N/A
$28,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 1+

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,568
N/A
N/A
$12,329
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,255
N/A
N/A
$2,253
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 2+

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,816
N/A
N/A
$1,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,579
N/A
N/A
$1,579
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$521
N/A
N/A
$521
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track the performance of specific quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' ability to score through aerial plays during the match. Each market sets a different threshold for success, reflecting varying levels of offensive productivity.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named quarterback meets or exceeds the stated threshold of passing touchdowns. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Kyler Murray and Daniel Jones, with each market having its own threshold for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game. You can view the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $56,259, alongside the total volume traded to date, standing at $58,126. The dashboard also displays the implied probabilities based on the current market prices, offering a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various results in this contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and differing information sets. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, and as more traders participate, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast than traditional betting venues. However, both aim to predict the same real-world outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is dynamic, and the market can react quickly to new information or changes in sentiment regarding the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game and the expected passing touchdowns.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by both teams in the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Indianapolis or Minnesota teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or personnel changes could also move the market. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price movements as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team.