TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions for specific quarterbacks in a professional football game between Indianapolis and Minnesota. The outcome depends on whether the designated players record a specified number of interceptions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by the specified quarterback—Kyler Murray or Daniel Jones—during the Indianapolis vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the player records the minimum number of interceptions stated in the market title (1+, 2+, or 3+). If a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during their participation. These rules apply independently to each market and quarterback, allowing for multiple simultaneous resolutions depending on performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals forecasting the event's outcome. You may find that the implied probabilities from this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analyses, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more its price will move, indicating greater confidence or uncertainty among participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of PredictionHero users.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the settled outcome. It’s important to monitor the game and official sources as the event concludes to understand the final resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from football experts, unexpected lineup changes, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the game's conclusion.