TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Indianapolis vs Minnesota: 2nd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$23,834

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,022
N/A
N/A
$2,669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,324
N/A
N/A
$6,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,906
N/A
N/A
$2,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
$1,085
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$694
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$513
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$419
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$416
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Indianapolis or Minnesota during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Indianapolis and Minnesota during the second quarter of play in their game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team to exceed—for Minnesota, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, while for Indianapolis, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the game is postponed or canceled without completing the second quarter, all markets will be void. The resolving entity will compare the final second-quarter scores to determine if the specified thresholds are met for each market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 2nd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing beliefs about the point differential in the second quarter of the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how opinions have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $23,834 and the total volume traded to date of $23,834. This provides insight into market activity and how much interest there is in this particular outcome.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, as this market incorporates a broader range of data and perspectives than a single sportsbook might.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. Buyers believe the spread is *more* likely than the market price suggests, while sellers believe it’s *less* likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by the collective insights of all participants trading in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts aligned with the actual spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different spread will not.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Indianapolis or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift opinions. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role, as could large volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi.