TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total points scored by both teams in the second half of an upcoming football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets assess whether the combined points scored by Indianapolis and Minnesota in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each threshold represents a distinct market, with the outcome determined solely by the total points accumulated after the second quarter concludes. Only points scored during the second half and any subsequent overtime periods count toward these markets. The resolution hinges on surpassing the exact numeric threshold defined for each market; failure to meet or exceed the threshold results in a 'No' outcome. All markets operate independently, and the governing league’s official scoring determines the result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective opinion. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different interpretation of the available data, but the market tends to converge as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total scores for the second half of the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts increase in value before the event concludes. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and forecast the likely outcome of the Colts-Vikings 2nd half total.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total score of the second half of the Indianapolis versus Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official league data and used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total score will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will receive nothing. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or the Vikings would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather conditions that could affect scoring. Unexpected shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also impact trading activity. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly.