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2,984,028,936

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$1,902,097,102

417,059

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4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Indianapolis vs Minnesota: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$227,952

Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,861
N/A
N/A
$36,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,025
N/A
N/A
$23,844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,693
N/A
N/A
$32,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,318
N/A
N/A
$18,168
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,827
N/A
N/A
$17,670
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,637
N/A
N/A
$17,038
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,267
N/A
N/A
$7,693
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,213
N/A
N/A
$4,615
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,689
N/A
N/A
$3,748
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,567
N/A
N/A
$3,352
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,086
N/A
N/A
$2,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
$1,208
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,139
N/A
N/A
$1,113
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
$884
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$508
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming professional football game. Participants assess how strongly either team might perform in the initial 30 minutes of play. Outcomes depend entirely on the score difference at halftime, reflecting early-game momentum and strategy execution.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential at the end of the first half of the designated game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market rule. Only points scored during the first half are considered; any scoring events or lead changes in the second half have no impact on resolution. The markets cover a range of thresholds from narrow margins (e.g., over 2.5 points) to substantial leads (e.g., over 15 points), allowing participants to speculate on varying degrees of dominance. The governing body's official scoring and game records are the definitive sources for resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal association with the league or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing beliefs about the Indianapolis versus Minnesota first-half spread. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $225,007. Total volume for this market is $227,952. The dashboard provides a visual representation of where traders currently stand on the likely outcome of this game, and how that sentiment is changing as new information becomes available.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence the early movement in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public perception, and the incentives of each venue. It’s common to see the market and sportsbook odds converge as kickoff nears.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first-half spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, analysis, and the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Indianapolis versus Minnesota first-half spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official spread determined at halftime of the game. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by those contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially known and verified.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Indianapolis or Minnesota teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also shift the market. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and cause the price to adjust rapidly.