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Indianapolis vs Kansas City: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis vs Kansas City?

Volume:
$20,722,650

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 11:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,307,698
N/A
N/A
$1,278,425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$666,734
N/A
N/A
$349,969
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,423,223
N/A
N/A
$4,030,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,225,962
N/A
N/A
$2,271,125
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,785,100
N/A
N/A
$866,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,403,202
N/A
N/A
$878,048
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,066,791
N/A
N/A
$550,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$481,272
N/A
N/A
$289,191
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$404,728
N/A
N/A
$158,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$290,956
N/A
N/A
$120,733
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282,228
N/A
N/A
$208,547
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206,670
N/A
N/A
$106,570
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$190,813
N/A
N/A
$110,854
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176,805
N/A
N/A
$126,391
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$162,411
N/A
N/A
$131,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114,451
N/A
N/A
$77,038
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,355
N/A
N/A
$89,369
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,412
N/A
N/A
$54,229
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,515
N/A
N/A
$63,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,814
N/A
N/A
$55,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,352
N/A
N/A
$30,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,838
N/A
N/A
$33,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,688
N/A
N/A
$28,991
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,131
N/A
N/A
$26,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,166
N/A
N/A
$21,920
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market asks whether Kansas City will win their game against Indianapolis by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Kansas City winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 63.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, as determined by the final point differential. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Kansas City wins by more than 14.5 points when the game is played on September 20, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if Kansas City wins by exceeding the specified point margin detailed in the market title; conversely, a market resolves to 'Yes' if Indianapolis wins by exceeding the corresponding point margin listed. If neither team meets their respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each evaluates only its own point differential criterion without regard to other markets. The governing league's official result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the Indianapolis versus Kansas City game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $19,927,865. The total volume traded on this market is $20,722,650. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities based on the collective predictions of other participants.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe Indianapolis will perform better than the spread suggests, the price of contracts favoring Indianapolis will increase, potentially moving closer to – or even surpassing – sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result of the game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions are incorporated by traders, creating a real-time assessment of the game's potential outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Indianapolis versus Kansas City game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual final point spread, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 per contract.

Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Indianapolis or Kansas City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, reflecting shifts in collective belief about the game's outcome.