TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a particular number of points, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after all regulation and overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Jacksonville and Indianapolis in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Jacksonville wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the market resolves accordingly. Similarly, if Indianapolis wins by 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves. Each outcome is determined by the full game score, including any overtime periods, with all markets independently resolving based on the specific point differential thresholds defined. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook's odds are mispriced, or that new information hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning margin and thus the settlement of this market. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the winning margin, based on the contract prices at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Indianapolis or Jacksonville would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring and therefore the winning margin. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may influence trading activity and move the market.