TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: Winning Margin
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What is the result of Indianapolis vs Jacksonville?

Volume:
$9,548

Jacksonville by 15 or more

 - Kalshi

Jacksonville by 15 or more - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:10 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jacksonville by 15 or more

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,993
N/A
N/A
$4,940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacksonville by 7 to 14

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,279
N/A
N/A
$2,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis by 7 to 14

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,027
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacksonville by 1 to 6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
$457
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis by 1 to 6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis by 15 or more

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a particular number of points, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after all regulation and overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the point differential between Jacksonville and Indianapolis in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Jacksonville wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the market resolves accordingly. Similarly, if Indianapolis wins by 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves. Each outcome is determined by the full game score, including any overtime periods, with all markets independently resolving based on the specific point differential thresholds defined. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL winning margin market tracks the current odds for various point differentials in the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game. You can view the price history of each outcome, allowing you to analyze how expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $6,822, and the total overall volume, which is $9,548. This provides a clear picture of market activity and investor sentiment surrounding the potential winning margin.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook's odds are mispriced, or that new information hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning margin and thus the settlement of this market. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the winning margin, based on the contract prices at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Indianapolis or Jacksonville would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring and therefore the winning margin. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may influence trading activity and move the market.