TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Mo Alie-Cox or Keenan Allen will each score at least one touchdown in the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Mo Alie-Cox a 25.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Keenan Allen is at 9.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Brenton Strange scores at least one touchdown in the game, as determined by official game results. Keep an eye on the official team injury reports leading up to November 1, 2026, as player availability will heavily influence scoring opportunities in this contest.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during the specified Pro Football game. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap - even if that play is nullified by a penalty - the market outcome depends solely on whether they score any touchdowns. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or offensive team field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts, though both aim to forecast the same event. Examining these differences can be insightful for those following the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the total number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater belief that the corresponding outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the resulting price movements reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the probability of different touchdown totals.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game, as officially recorded by league statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Jacksonville teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant adjustments to betting lines at major sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price movements as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the game.