TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance in a specific football game between two teams, focusing on whether either team exceeds various yardage thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the official game statistics for total offensive yards gained by each team.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Indianapolis or Jacksonville in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific yardage threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by the respective team, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all affected markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual completion status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the corresponding price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total team yardage will fall above or below a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and expectations surrounding the game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for each team in the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Indianapolis or Jacksonville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or running games, could also shift prices. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.