TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks rushing performance in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville, focusing on individual player statistics. Payouts scale with the number of rushing yards achieved by specified players, reflecting their on-field contributions during the contest.
Contracts in this market resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the specified Pro Football game. For each player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 rushing yards achieved, up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling factor applied to the rushing yards, truncated to the nearest 10-yard increment and capped at 200 yards. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. If a player records negative rushing yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00. All markets resolve to Yes following payout calculation, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that continuously updates as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or snow, could also shift expectations about rushing yardage totals. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the game’s likely outcome could affect trading volume and prices.