TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the player achieves certain rushing yard thresholds during the match. Markets adjust based on the player's actual participation and yardage accumulated.
All markets for this event evaluate whether Bhayshul Tuten reaches specified rushing yard thresholds (ranging from 40 to 130+ yards) in the Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville professional football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if Tuten meets or exceeds its respective yardage requirement during the game. A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if Tuten is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Tuten takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based solely on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules ensure that markets are resolved fairly, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final rushing yards total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential rushing yardage in this NFL matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yards total from the Indianapolis versus Jacksonville game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. Contracts predicting a rushing yards total that is equal to or above the actual total will pay out $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official NFL statistics following the game’s completion to understand the resolution.