TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve particular yardage milestones through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets in this event evaluate whether designated Indianapolis or Jacksonville players achieve specified combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the Nov 1, 2026 game. Each market has a distinct yardage requirement (80+, 105+, or 130+ yards) for either Bhayshul Tuten or Jonathan Taylor. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named player meets or exceeds their threshold. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based solely on the total rushing and receiving yards they record during the game. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent on the specific yardage criteria for each participant.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either market. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd sees value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective assessment. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to view the official results on Kalshi following the event's conclusion and the verification of the data.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could all significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability, such as a key receiver being ruled out, would likely cause a rapid adjustment in the market. Additionally, any updates on the opposing team’s defensive capabilities could also impact trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for making informed trading decisions.